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Bajaj Finance, a prominent non-banking finance entity in India, experienced a nearly 7% dive in its stock on Tuesday, November 11, despite announcing encouraging quarterly earnings. The drop was largely driven by apprehensive investor reactions to the company’s cautious forecast and signs of strain in its MSME loan segment, igniting worries regarding short-term growth potential.
Robust Profit Performance
The NBFC reported a net profit surge of 23%, amounting to ₹4,948 crore for the quarter ending September 30. The net interest income exhibited a substantial rise of 22%, hitting ₹10,785 crore compared to ₹8,838 crore in the same quarter the previous year.
Concerns Over Asset Quality
On the downside, the company’s asset quality displayed signs of deterioration. Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) climbed to 1.24%, up from 1.06% year-over-year, while net NPAs increased from 0.46% to 0.6%. The challenges in MSME and two-wheeler lending have prompted the firm to take a more cautious and prudent approach to credit expansion.
Revised Guidance and Cautious Outlook
Bajaj Finance has adjusted its credit growth guidance for the fiscal year to 22-23%, down from its prior forecast of 24-25%. The management has also indicated that net interest margins (NIMs) are expected to plateau, while fee income growth is predicted to be between 13%-15% and credit costs set between 1.85%-1.95% for FY26.
Market Response and Investor Sentiment
Brokerages displayed a cautious response. JM Financial revised its EPS projections down by 2%-3% for FY26/27 and established a new target price of ₹1,140, downgrading its recommendation from BUY to ADD. Motilal Oswal Financial Services noted that despite a healthy PAT growth of around 25% over FY25-FY28 and robust return ratios, the stock’s elevated valuation limits near-term upside, maintaining a Neutral stance with a target of ₹1,160.
The recent price actions illustrate investor wariness as key lending sector growth decelerates while the company opts for a judicious stance on forthcoming expansions. Bajaj Finance's results highlight the mounting challenges for NBFCs in attempting to achieve growth while maintaining asset quality in a competitive lending market.